Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 61.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Johansen 52.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 78.9%
Defensive zone
Miller 67.5%
Neutral zone
Miller 72.7%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Miller
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Miller
Johansen
Last 5: Miller 4-1 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
1
Miller
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
51.9% (597)
+4.4%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
57.9% (133)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
54.3% (81)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Miller is 61.4% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Miller shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Miller
Johansen
Home
58.6% (734)
55.8% (387)
Away
54.1% (727)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Miller
Johansen
P1
57.1%
50.0%
P2
57.0%
56.2%
P3
54.7%
52.6%
OT
62.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |