Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 61.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Johnston 50.1% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 90.4%
Defensive zone
Miller 57.8%
Neutral zone
Miller 73.4%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Miller
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Miller
Johnston
Last 7: Miller 5-2 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
50.7% (552)
+5.6%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
61.5% (13)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
43.5% (69)
+3.9%
On even strength, Miller has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Miller is 61.4% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Miller shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Miller
Johnston
Home
58.6% (734)
50.3% (342)
Away
54.1% (727)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Miller
Johnston
P1
57.1%
54.4%
P2
57.0%
47.2%
P3
54.7%
49.4%
OT
62.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:05 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:51 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |