Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Johnston 49.1% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 93.7%
Defensive zone
Miller 71.9%
Neutral zone
Miller 83.1%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Miller
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Miller
Johnston
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
2
Miller
Johnston
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Miller
Johnston
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
5
1
Miller
Johnston
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
49.3% (2,189)
+5.9%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
52.6% (173)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
44.7% (237)
+3.5%
On even strength, Miller has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Miller is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,937).
Miller shoots left. Johnston is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,967).
Home / Away
Miller
Johnston
Home
55.9% (4,578)
49.2% (1,319)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
49.0% (1,280)
By Period
Miller
Johnston
P1
54.7%
50.1%
P2
55.6%
48.3%
P3
54.0%
48.8%
OT
62.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:05 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:51 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |