Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Drury 56.9% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 57.4%
Defensive zone
Drury 88.5%
Neutral zone
Drury 69.2%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Barkov
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Barkov
Drury
Last 6: Barkov 5-1 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
5
0
Barkov
Drury
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
0
1
Barkov
Drury
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
57.9% (592)
-2.4%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
67.4% (46)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
52.8% (108)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Drury is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Barkov
Drury
Home
56.4% (550)
59.3% (364)
Away
56.7% (476)
56.3% (382)
By Period
Barkov
Drury
P1
56.5%
53.9%
P2
55.5%
60.5%
P3
57.9%
58.3%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.7%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 14:15 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |