Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs Evans 52.0% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 88.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 74.5%
Neutral zone
Drury 69.4%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Drury
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Drury
Evans
Last 6: Drury 4-2 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
3
0
Drury
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Drury
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
54.4% (807)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
55.0% (20)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
46.1% (310)
+25.3%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Drury is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Drury shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Drury
Evans
Home
56.7% (358)
53.7% (581)
Away
53.6% (306)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Drury
Evans
P1
57.3%
54.6%
P2
57.6%
50.0%
P3
51.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:55 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Jack Drury |