Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Drury wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Evans 55.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 88.0%
Defensive zone
Drury 63.1%
Neutral zone
Drury 79.7%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Drury
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
0
(9 meetings)
9
0
Drury
Evans
Last 9: Drury 9-0 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
0
Drury
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
4
0
Drury
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
3
0
Drury
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (667)
56.2% (477)
+5.0%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
70.0% (10)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (157)
55.4% (204)
-6.4%
On power play, Evans has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Drury is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Drury shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Drury
Evans
Home
59.2% (407)
55.3% (374)
Away
58.1% (427)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Drury
Evans
P1
59.0%
58.5%
P2
57.7%
55.7%
P3
59.1%
53.9%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 04:38 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 12:04 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:10 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Jack Drury |