Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.6% vs Staal 54.7% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 64.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 51.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 50.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Drury
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Drury
Staal
Last 6: Drury 3-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Drury
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (659)
56.2% (939)
+4.6%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
66.9% (139)
-26.9%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (155)
43.5% (239)
+6.2%
On power play, Staal has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Drury is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Drury shoots left. Staal is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Home / Away
Drury
Staal
Home
59.2% (407)
55.4% (663)
Away
57.8% (417)
54.7% (654)
By Period
Drury
Staal
P1
59.1%
54.9%
P2
57.6%
55.1%
P3
58.8%
54.0%
OT
60.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
62.0%▲
55.5%
58.5%
Staal
50.0%▼
52.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |