Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Staal 55.3% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 53.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 59.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Drury
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Drury
Staal
Last 6: Drury 3-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Drury
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
55.9% (14,620)
+2.1%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
62.7% (1,745)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
48.0% (2,896)
+4.1%
On power play, Staal has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Drury is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,565).
Drury shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Drury
Staal
Home
58.3% (1,212)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Drury
Staal
P1
56.0%
55.2%
P2
58.6%
55.9%
P3
57.0%
54.9%
OT
62.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
53.7%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |