Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Staal 54.6% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 63.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 51.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Drury
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Drury
Staal
Last 6: Drury 3-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Drury
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (667)
56.1% (955)
+5.1%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
66.9% (142)
-26.9%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (157)
43.0% (242)
+6.0%
On power play, Staal has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Drury is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Drury shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Drury
Staal
Home
59.2% (407)
55.4% (663)
Away
58.1% (427)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Drury
Staal
P1
59.0%
55.1%
P2
57.7%
54.7%
P3
59.1%
53.9%
OT
60.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |