Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Drury wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 56.9% vs Dowd 49.9% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 81.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 60.2%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Drury
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Drury
Dowd
Last 8: Drury 4-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
4
0
Drury
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Drury
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Drury
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (592)
52.2% (835)
+5.7%
Power Play
67.4% (46)
60.0% (10)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
44.0% (350)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Drury is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Drury shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Drury
Dowd
Home
59.3% (364)
51.5% (619)
Away
56.3% (382)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Drury
Dowd
P1
53.9%
51.7%
P2
60.5%
51.6%
P3
58.3%
47.0%
OT
66.7%
22.2%
Final 5 min
55.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |