Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Dowd 49.1% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 79.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 54.2%
Neutral zone
Drury 71.2%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Drury
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Drury
Dowd
Last 5: Drury 3-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Drury
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (667)
51.7% (644)
+9.5%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
0.0% (2)
+40.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (157)
41.6% (221)
+7.4%
On power play, Drury has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Drury is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Drury shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Drury
Dowd
Home
59.2% (407)
48.6% (451)
Away
58.1% (427)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Drury
Dowd
P1
59.0%
49.1%
P2
57.7%
47.3%
P3
59.1%
51.4%
OT
60.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |