Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 58.1% vs Cates 45.2% (+14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 70.2%
Defensive zone
Drury 95.8%
Neutral zone
Drury 92.7%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 95.8%
95.8%
4.2%
Drury
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Drury
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
3
0
Drury
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (510)
44.2% (566)
+17.6%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
44.0% (84)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (125)
50.0% (38)
+0.4%
On even strength, Drury has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Drury is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Drury shoots left. Cates is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Drury
Cates
Home
60.3% (317)
45.1% (350)
Away
58.4% (327)
43.8% (338)
By Period
Drury
Cates
P1
59.7%
46.8%
P2
57.7%
46.5%
P3
60.4%
40.8%
OT
60.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.3%
Cates
56.0%▲
46.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Jack Drury |