Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Cates 45.5% (+13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 72.8%
Defensive zone
Drury 96.3%
Neutral zone
Drury 93.4%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 96.3%
96.3%
3.7%
Drury
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Drury
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
3
0
Drury
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (667)
45.4% (712)
+15.8%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
42.2% (102)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (157)
44.7% (47)
+4.3%
On even strength, Drury has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Drury is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Drury shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Drury
Cates
Home
59.2% (407)
46.3% (423)
Away
58.1% (427)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Drury
Cates
P1
59.0%
46.3%
P2
57.7%
47.1%
P3
59.1%
42.1%
OT
60.0%
18.2%
Final 5 min
50.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Jack Drury |