Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 59.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 51.8% vs Cates 40.4% (+13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 60.8%
Defensive zone
Cates 78.5%
Neutral zone
Drury 50.6%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 78.5%
21.5%
78.5%
Drury
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Drury
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Drury
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (114)
40.4% (841)
+14.0%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
42.4% (66)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
32.7% (147)
-32.7%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Drury is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Drury shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Drury
Cates
Home
50.0% (68)
38.2% (566)
Away
56.9% (58)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Drury
Cates
P1
39.5%
40.5%
P2
57.1%
42.4%
P3
60.4%
35.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
68.0%▲
63.5%
53.2%
Cates
56.0%▲
46.5%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Noah Cates |