Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Donato 48.1% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 62.1%
Defensive zone
Drury 91.3%
Neutral zone
Drury 88.2%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Drury
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Drury
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Drury
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
3
0
Drury
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (667)
48.1% (258)
+13.1%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
43.2% (37)
-3.2%
On even strength, Drury has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Drury is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Drury shoots left. Donato is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Drury
Donato
Home
59.2% (407)
45.8% (142)
Away
58.1% (427)
49.0% (153)
By Period
Drury
Donato
P1
59.0%
48.1%
P2
57.7%
46.6%
P3
59.1%
46.8%
OT
60.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Drury |