Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Drury wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 56.9% vs Donato 45.4% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 81.3%
Defensive zone
Drury 97.3%
Neutral zone
Drury 94.4%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 95.3%
95.3%
4.7%
Drury
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
0
(8 meetings)
8
0
Drury
Donato
Last 8: Drury 8-0 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
7
0
Drury
Donato
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (592)
43.5% (400)
+14.4%
Power Play
67.4% (46)
48.7% (119)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
33.3% (6)
+19.5%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Drury is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Drury shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Drury
Donato
Home
59.3% (364)
50.2% (279)
Away
56.3% (382)
38.2% (246)
By Period
Drury
Donato
P1
53.9%
44.6%
P2
60.5%
46.6%
P3
58.3%
42.0%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.8%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Jack Drury |