Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Drury wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Donato 44.9% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Drury leads 11-1 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Drury 81.3%
Defensive zone
Drury 97.6%
Neutral zone
Drury 95.6%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 95.7%
95.7%
4.3%
Drury
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
1
(12 meetings)
11
1
Drury
Donato
Last 10: Drury 9-1 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
7
1
Drury
Donato
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
3
0
Drury
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
44.2% (1,179)
+13.8%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
46.3% (246)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
36.4% (11)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Drury is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,565).
Drury shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Drury
Donato
Home
58.3% (1,212)
47.2% (743)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Drury
Donato
P1
56.0%
43.4%
P2
58.6%
45.1%
P3
57.0%
44.4%
OT
62.5%
70.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Jack Drury |