Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 50.9%
Defensive zone
Drury 54.9%
Neutral zone
Drury 54.7%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Drury
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Drury
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
55.0% (1,084)
-0.3%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
56.8% (303)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
40.3% (149)
+31.1%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Drury is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Drury shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Drury
O'Reilly
Home
56.7% (358)
54.8% (759)
Away
53.6% (306)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Drury
O'Reilly
P1
57.3%
55.3%
P2
57.6%
51.9%
P3
51.1%
54.2%
Final 5 min
53.4%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Jack Drury |