Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Drury wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 59.0%
Defensive zone
Drury 51.0%
Neutral zone
Drury 51.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Drury
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Drury
O'Reilly
Last 7: Drury 5-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Drury
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
5
0
Drury
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Drury
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
56.2% (15,260)
+1.8%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
58.8% (3,445)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
51.4% (2,811)
+0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Drury is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,565).
Drury shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Drury
O'Reilly
Home
58.3% (1,212)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Drury
O'Reilly
P1
56.0%
55.6%
P2
58.6%
57.0%
P3
57.0%
55.1%
OT
62.5%
62.2%
Final 5 min
53.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Jack Drury |