Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 54.9%). Drury wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs Monahan 54.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 53.3%
Defensive zone
Monahan 58.8%
Neutral zone
Drury 50.4%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Drury
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Drury
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
57.1% (871)
-2.4%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
53.1% (262)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
44.6% (139)
+26.8%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Drury is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Drury shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Drury
Monahan
Home
56.7% (358)
55.3% (644)
Away
53.6% (306)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Drury
Monahan
P1
57.3%
53.9%
P2
57.6%
55.3%
P3
51.1%
54.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Jack Drury |