Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Monahan 52.8% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 85.3%
Defensive zone
Monahan 57.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 68.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 73.9%
26.1%
73.9%
Drury
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Drury
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Drury
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Drury
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (667)
53.2% (823)
+8.0%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
55.3% (159)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (157)
48.4% (95)
+0.6%
On power play, Monahan has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Drury is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Drury shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Drury
Monahan
Home
59.2% (407)
54.6% (529)
Away
58.1% (427)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Drury
Monahan
P1
59.0%
49.0%
P2
57.7%
55.4%
P3
59.1%
53.6%
OT
60.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
50.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |