Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 59.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 51.8% vs Hertl 54.5% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 61.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 56.6%
Neutral zone
Drury 59.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Drury
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (114)
54.1% (1,117)
+0.3%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
59.8% (296)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
34.4% (32)
-34.4%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Drury is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Drury shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Drury
Hertl
Home
50.0% (68)
54.3% (709)
Away
56.9% (58)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Drury
Hertl
P1
39.5%
51.6%
P2
57.1%
53.6%
P3
60.4%
58.6%
Final 5 min
59.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%