Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs Hertl 56.8% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 51.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 73.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Drury
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Drury
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
57.0% (718)
-2.3%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
64.9% (188)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
44.2% (77)
+27.2%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Drury is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Drury shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Drury
Hertl
Home
56.7% (358)
59.2% (463)
Away
53.6% (306)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Drury
Hertl
P1
57.3%
56.3%
P2
57.6%
55.4%
P3
51.1%
60.5%
Final 5 min
53.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Jack Drury |