Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs Frederic 46.5% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 77.8%
Defensive zone
Drury 53.8%
Neutral zone
Drury 69.3%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Drury
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Drury
Frederic
Last 5: Drury 3-2 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Drury
Frederic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Frederic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
2
0
Drury
Frederic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
45.8% (262)
+8.9%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
57.1% (7)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
36.4% (22)
+35.0%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Drury is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Drury shoots left. Frederic is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Drury
Frederic
Home
56.7% (358)
44.1% (152)
Away
53.6% (306)
46.8% (139)
By Period
Drury
Frederic
P1
57.3%
41.7%
P2
57.6%
48.9%
P3
51.1%
45.6%
Final 5 min
53.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:33 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |