Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Frederic 46.8% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 68.9%
Defensive zone
Drury 71.2%
Neutral zone
Drury 71.0%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Drury
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Drury
Frederic
Last 5: Drury 3-2 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Drury
Frederic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Frederic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
2
0
Drury
Frederic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
46.3% (909)
+11.7%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
63.3% (30)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
35.5% (31)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Drury is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,565).
Drury shoots left. Frederic is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Drury
Frederic
Home
58.3% (1,212)
47.6% (485)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
45.4% (485)
By Period
Drury
Frederic
P1
56.0%
41.9%
P2
58.6%
48.0%
P3
57.0%
49.8%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:33 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |