Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 56.9% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 55.8%
Defensive zone
Drury 65.4%
Neutral zone
Drury 52.9%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Drury
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Drury
Trocheck
Last 9: Drury 4-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Drury
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
3
2
Drury
Trocheck
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (592)
59.6% (1,032)
-1.7%
Power Play
67.4% (46)
62.1% (253)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
55.4% (249)
-2.6%
On power play, Drury has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Drury is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Drury shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Drury
Trocheck
Home
59.3% (364)
61.7% (786)
Away
56.3% (382)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Drury
Trocheck
P1
53.9%
61.7%
P2
60.5%
58.8%
P3
58.3%
57.6%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.6%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.8%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 08:01 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |