Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Trocheck 56.0% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 68.2%
Defensive zone
Drury 60.1%
Neutral zone
Drury 58.5%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Drury
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Drury
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
0
Drury
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Drury
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Drury
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (667)
57.8% (626)
+3.4%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
63.6% (151)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (157)
44.0% (141)
+5.0%
On power play, Trocheck has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Drury is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Drury shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Drury
Trocheck
Home
59.2% (407)
54.4% (390)
Away
58.1% (427)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Drury
Trocheck
P1
59.0%
56.4%
P2
57.7%
58.7%
P3
59.1%
54.8%
OT
60.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 02:36 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Jack Drury |