Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Eichel wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 42.4% vs Toews 57.5% (-16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 84.4%
Defensive zone
Eichel 85.1%
Neutral zone
Eichel 84.0%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Eichel
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Eichel
Toews
Last 7: Eichel 1-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Eichel
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Eichel
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Eichel
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (791)
58.4% (1,115)
-16.8%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
61.3% (256)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (9)
50.5% (182)
-50.5%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +50.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Eichel is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Eichel shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
Eichel
Toews
Home
44.6% (408)
59.5% (783)
Away
38.6% (428)
56.4% (770)
By Period
Eichel
Toews
P1
43.0%
58.4%
P2
40.7%
59.4%
P3
41.7%
55.9%
OT
20.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
42.3%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
41.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |