Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (61% H2H, 18 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Toews 57.9% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 31-28 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 61.8%
Defensive zone
Eichel 63.0%
Neutral zone
Eichel 64.0%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Eichel
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
31
(59 meetings)
28
31
Eichel
Toews
Last 10: Eichel 6-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
13
10
Eichel
Toews
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
8
10
Eichel
Toews
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
7
11
Eichel
Toews
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
57.2% (13,047)
-12.5%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
63.3% (3,252)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
53.6% (1,810)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Eichel shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Home / Away
Eichel
Toews
Home
45.7% (4,899)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Eichel
Toews
P1
45.4%
58.6%
P2
45.8%
57.8%
P3
44.2%
57.3%
OT
44.2%
58.9%
Final 5 min
45.9%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 27, 2022 | OT | 03:54 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |