Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.1% vs Toews 60.3% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 59.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 55.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 64.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Eichel
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eichel
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (858)
62.5% (696)
-14.8%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
59.6% (141)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
46.9% (32)
-2.1%
On even strength, Toews has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Eichel shoots right. Toews is 71.8% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Eichel
Toews
Home
47.7% (509)
60.9% (435)
Away
48.1% (499)
62.0% (434)
By Period
Eichel
Toews
P1
49.5%
59.8%
P2
48.5%
65.7%
P3
46.8%
58.8%
OT
37.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |