Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.2% vs Eller 55.7% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 67.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 68.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Eichel
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Eichel
Eller
Last 5: Eichel 2-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Eichel
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (852)
56.5% (434)
-8.7%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
77.8% (9)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
56.5% (46)
-11.7%
On power play, Eller has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Eichel is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Eichel shoots right. Eller is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Eichel
Eller
Home
47.7% (509)
53.1% (211)
Away
48.3% (493)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Eichel
Eller
P1
49.5%
55.4%
P2
48.9%
58.1%
P3
46.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.6%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |