Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Eller 52.0% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 73.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 79.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.4%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Eichel
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Eichel
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
1
Eichel
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Eichel
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
52.8% (742)
-6.4%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
67.6% (34)
-27.3%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
46.2% (156)
-4.0%
On power play, Eller has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Eichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Eichel shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Eichel
Eller
Home
44.0% (457)
54.5% (448)
Away
47.0% (451)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Eichel
Eller
P1
45.1%
52.8%
P2
46.5%
50.9%
P3
45.3%
53.4%
OT
28.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.9%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |