Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.9% vs Eller 49.5% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 73.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 74.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.0%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Eichel
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Eichel
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Eichel
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (317)
51.1% (786)
-4.7%
Power Play
59.6% (57)
45.0% (80)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
43.6% (165)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Eichel is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Eichel shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Eichel
Eller
Home
46.2% (169)
51.2% (510)
Away
50.5% (210)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Eichel
Eller
P1
39.8%
50.7%
P2
49.6%
49.0%
P3
56.2%
48.3%
OT
28.6%
56.3%
Final 5 min
56.5%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Lars Eller |