Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +23.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Eichel wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 40.2% vs Duchene 61.5% (-23.7%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 82.6%
Defensive zone
Eichel 75.1%
Neutral zone
Eichel 79.7%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Eichel
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Eichel
Duchene
Last 10: Eichel 2-8 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Eichel
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
5
Eichel
Duchene
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Eichel
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (769)
62.2% (802)
-23.7%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
67.3% (153)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
59.4% (143)
-17.7%
On even strength, Duchene has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Eichel is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Eichel shoots right. Duchene is 65.4% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Eichel
Duchene
Home
41.2% (417)
66.5% (555)
Away
36.4% (379)
58.6% (543)
By Period
Eichel
Duchene
P1
41.1%
63.2%
P2
39.9%
59.6%
P3
34.5%
65.0%
OT
55.6%
71.4%
Final 5 min
37.7%
65.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
38.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2017 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 2 | 09:55 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 09:01 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |