Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.1% vs Duchene 51.6% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 64.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 51.8%
Neutral zone
Eichel 50.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Eichel
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Eichel
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Eichel
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
0
Eichel
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (858)
51.2% (324)
-3.5%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
60.4% (53)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
16.7% (6)
+28.1%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Eichel shoots right. Duchene is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Eichel
Duchene
Home
47.7% (509)
51.6% (182)
Away
48.1% (499)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Eichel
Duchene
P1
49.5%
49.6%
P2
48.5%
56.2%
P3
46.8%
48.6%
OT
37.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |