Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Duchene 55.6% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 61.7%
Defensive zone
Eichel 61.4%
Neutral zone
Eichel 65.7%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Eichel
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Eichel
Duchene
Last 8: Eichel 2-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Eichel
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Eichel
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Eichel
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
56.5% (566)
-10.1%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
61.3% (62)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
22.2% (9)
+20.0%
On power play, Duchene has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Eichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Eichel shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Eichel
Duchene
Home
44.0% (457)
56.6% (318)
Away
47.0% (451)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Eichel
Duchene
P1
45.1%
57.2%
P2
46.5%
55.1%
P3
45.3%
55.6%
OT
28.6%
81.3%
Final 5 min
41.9%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 22, 2023 | OT | 01:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 14:22 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:01 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |