Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (53% H2H, 15 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Paul 52.2% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 19-18 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 54.9%
Defensive zone
Paul 70.1%
Neutral zone
Paul 60.4%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Eichel
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
18
(37 meetings)
19
18
Eichel
Paul
Last 10: Eichel 5-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
7
8
Eichel
Paul
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
4
3
Eichel
Paul
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
8
7
Eichel
Paul
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
52.5% (3,796)
-7.8%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
56.5% (480)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
46.7% (574)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Eichel shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Home / Away
Eichel
Paul
Home
45.7% (4,899)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Eichel
Paul
P1
45.4%
53.9%
P2
45.8%
51.0%
P3
44.2%
52.0%
OT
44.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:47 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:52 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:49 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:23 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Nick Paul |