Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Eichel wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Paul 53.9% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 52.1%
Defensive zone
Eichel 56.1%
Neutral zone
Eichel 54.1%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Eichel
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Eichel
Paul
Last 9: Eichel 4-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
3
Eichel
Paul
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
1
Eichel
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
53.1% (710)
-6.7%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
57.3% (199)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
58.0% (69)
-15.8%
On power play, Paul has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Eichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Eichel shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Eichel
Paul
Home
44.0% (457)
56.0% (466)
Away
47.0% (451)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Eichel
Paul
P1
45.1%
57.2%
P2
46.5%
54.9%
P3
45.3%
51.5%
OT
28.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:52 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:49 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |