Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Eichel wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.9% vs Paul 50.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 72.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 84.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 66.2%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Eichel
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Eichel
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (317)
53.0% (644)
-6.6%
Power Play
59.6% (57)
37.5% (24)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
42.9% (177)
+17.1%
On power play, Eichel has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Eichel is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Eichel shoots right. Paul is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Eichel
Paul
Home
46.2% (169)
52.5% (516)
Away
50.5% (210)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Eichel
Paul
P1
39.8%
47.6%
P2
49.6%
48.4%
P3
56.2%
54.5%
OT
28.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 04:23 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |