Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 47.1% vs Paul 51.0% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 62.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 77.1%
Neutral zone
Paul 66.2%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Eichel
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Eichel
Paul
Last 10: Eichel 6-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Eichel
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
2
Eichel
Paul
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (1,019)
53.5% (312)
-7.1%
Power Play
52.5% (242)
53.8% (26)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (50)
29.4% (34)
-1.4%
On even strength, Paul has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Eichel is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (936).
Eichel shoots right. Paul is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Eichel
Paul
Home
48.0% (683)
45.8% (153)
Away
45.5% (628)
55.0% (220)
By Period
Eichel
Paul
P1
46.1%
55.9%
P2
47.6%
48.9%
P3
46.4%
50.0%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
46.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 17:31 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 06:04 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |