Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Stastny 55.1% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 19-10 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 77.6%
Defensive zone
Eichel 86.3%
Neutral zone
Eichel 86.5%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Eichel
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
19
(29 meetings)
10
19
Eichel
Stastny
Last 10: Eichel 2-8 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
5
Eichel
Stastny
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
8
Eichel
Stastny
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
6
Eichel
Stastny
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
54.6% (10,616)
-9.9%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
59.1% (1,994)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
52.9% (1,119)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Eichel shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Eichel
Stastny
Home
45.7% (4,899)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Eichel
Stastny
P1
45.4%
56.3%
P2
45.8%
55.4%
P3
44.2%
53.5%
OT
44.2%
62.9%
Final 5 min
45.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:11 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 19:47 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 15:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 09:43 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 19:20 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 19:14 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 10, 2017 | OT | 01:42 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |