Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Eichel wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.8% vs Stastny 56.3% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 88.7%
Defensive zone
Stastny 56.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 60.7%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Eichel
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Eichel
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (708)
57.5% (412)
-12.0%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
60.0% (65)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
44.4% (9)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Eichel is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Eichel shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Eichel
Stastny
Home
46.1% (388)
58.3% (276)
Away
44.4% (405)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Eichel
Stastny
P1
46.8%
63.7%
P2
43.4%
57.3%
P3
45.4%
50.4%
Final 5 min
44.3%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:11 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |