Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.9% vs Stastny 55.4% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 72.5%
Defensive zone
Eichel 69.1%
Neutral zone
Eichel 70.0%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Eichel
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Eichel
Stastny
Last 6: Eichel 0-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Eichel
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Eichel
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Eichel
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (317)
59.2% (370)
-12.8%
Power Play
59.6% (57)
40.9% (44)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
51.7% (58)
+8.3%
On power play, Eichel has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Eichel is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Eichel shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Eichel
Stastny
Home
46.2% (169)
57.7% (215)
Away
50.5% (210)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Eichel
Stastny
P1
39.8%
57.7%
P2
49.6%
54.2%
P3
56.2%
57.7%
OT
28.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 19:47 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |