Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.8% vs Buchnevich 36.3% (+15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 51.4%
Defensive zone
Eichel 53.4%
Neutral zone
Eichel 52.7%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Eichel
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Eichel
Buchnevich
Last 6: Eichel 3-3 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Eichel
Buchnevich
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
1
Eichel
Buchnevich
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (708)
28.6% (192)
+16.9%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
55.6% (9)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
30.8% (13)
-1.8%
On even strength, Eichel has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Eichel is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Eichel shoots right. Buchnevich is 32.1% vs right-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Eichel
Buchnevich
Home
46.1% (388)
30.4% (112)
Away
44.4% (405)
29.4% (102)
By Period
Eichel
Buchnevich
P1
46.8%
27.7%
P2
43.4%
33.3%
P3
45.4%
27.7%
Final 5 min
44.3%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
29.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |