Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Eichel wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Buchnevich 41.2% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 59.1%
Defensive zone
Eichel 57.0%
Neutral zone
Eichel 55.2%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Eichel
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eichel
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Eichel
Buchnevich
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (1,044)
37.0% (211)
+8.9%
Power Play
55.9% (59)
50.0% (10)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
28.6% (7)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Eichel shoots right. Buchnevich is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Eichel
Buchnevich
Home
46.5% (606)
35.6% (87)
Away
44.8% (648)
38.3% (141)
By Period
Eichel
Buchnevich
P1
47.2%
36.3%
P2
46.9%
37.6%
P3
42.7%
38.1%
Final 5 min
41.4%
36.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 12:53 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |