Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eichel wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs McLeod 52.1% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 80.3%
Defensive zone
Eichel 67.9%
Neutral zone
Eichel 70.8%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Eichel
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Eichel
McLeod
Last 7: Eichel 1-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
4
Eichel
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Eichel
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (1,044)
52.9% (904)
-7.0%
Power Play
55.9% (59)
57.6% (59)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
49.0% (241)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Eichel shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Eichel
McLeod
Home
46.5% (606)
51.8% (612)
Away
44.8% (648)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Eichel
McLeod
P1
47.2%
55.4%
P2
46.9%
50.8%
P3
42.7%
51.6%
OT
42.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:13 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:06 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |