Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 47.6%). Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.1% vs McLeod 47.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 66.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 72.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.0%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Eichel
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Eichel
McLeod
Last 9: Eichel 4-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
1
Eichel
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Eichel
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Eichel
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (858)
49.2% (796)
-1.5%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
44.8% (87)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
43.3% (263)
+1.5%
On power play, Eichel has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Eichel shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Eichel
McLeod
Home
47.7% (509)
49.2% (575)
Away
48.1% (499)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Eichel
McLeod
P1
49.5%
52.8%
P2
48.5%
45.1%
P3
46.8%
45.6%
OT
37.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 11:00 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:50 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:08 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |