Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.8% vs Lafferty 50.9% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 55.0%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 82.9%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 62.8%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Eichel
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Eichel
Lafferty
Last 8: Eichel 5-3 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
1
Eichel
Lafferty
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
2
Eichel
Lafferty
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (708)
52.2% (366)
-6.7%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
60.0% (15)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
46.2% (104)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Eichel is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Eichel shoots right. Lafferty is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Eichel
Lafferty
Home
46.1% (388)
53.1% (258)
Away
44.4% (405)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Eichel
Lafferty
P1
46.8%
52.5%
P2
43.4%
49.7%
P3
45.4%
51.3%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:05 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:32 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |