Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Eichel wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Lafferty 47.6% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 67.8%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 78.2%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 58.2%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Eichel
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Eichel
Lafferty
Last 10: Eichel 6-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
2
Eichel
Lafferty
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
2
Eichel
Lafferty
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
48.0% (1,413)
-3.3%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
45.7% (46)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
43.5% (184)
-5.2%
On power play, Eichel has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Eichel is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,909).
Eichel shoots right. Lafferty is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Eichel
Lafferty
Home
45.7% (4,899)
47.3% (833)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
47.5% (810)
By Period
Eichel
Lafferty
P1
45.4%
49.4%
P2
45.8%
43.1%
P3
44.2%
49.8%
OT
44.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:05 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:32 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |