Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Eichel wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.8% vs Aho 51.2% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 82.7%
Defensive zone
Aho 53.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 58.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Eichel
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Eichel
Aho
Last 10: Eichel 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
3
Eichel
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
2
Eichel
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
4
1
Eichel
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (708)
48.5% (778)
-3.0%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
63.4% (191)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
50.8% (65)
-21.8%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Eichel is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Eichel shoots right. Aho is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Eichel
Aho
Home
46.1% (388)
51.3% (530)
Away
44.4% (405)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Eichel
Aho
P1
46.8%
50.0%
P2
43.4%
51.3%
P3
45.4%
52.1%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:24 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:30 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 16:18 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 06:59 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |