Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Aho 53.8% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 50.5%
Defensive zone
Eichel 73.6%
Neutral zone
Eichel 60.5%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Eichel
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Eichel
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Eichel
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
51.2% (785)
-4.8%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
63.8% (213)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
57.9% (57)
-15.7%
On power play, Aho has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Eichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Eichel shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Eichel
Aho
Home
44.0% (457)
54.9% (548)
Away
47.0% (451)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Eichel
Aho
P1
45.1%
52.8%
P2
46.5%
58.9%
P3
45.3%
50.6%
OT
28.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
41.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |